With 117 games played and 45 scheduled for the rest of the season, I thought it might be a good time to check in on where the 2013 Padres stand compared to every other Padres team.
After the Padres wasted Ian Kennedy's stellar pitching performance yesterday their season win total sits uncomfortably at 53. Not as bad as just 35 wins and not as good as 76. Just right there in the middle somewhere feeling awkward about itself.
If other seasons are any indication and the season continues as it has then we can guess the Padres will finish with a win total in the low 70's.
The first 117 games
Year | Wins in first 117 | Win % for first 117 | Season Wins | Season Games | Season Win % |
1969 | 35 | 29.91 | 52 | 162 | 32.1 |
1973 | 41 | 35.04 | 60 | 162 | 37.04 |
1981 | 41 | 35.04 | 41 | 110 | 37.27 |
1971 | 42 | 35.9 | 61 | 161 | 37.89 |
1972 | 45 | 38.46 | 58 | 153 | 37.91 |
2008 | 45 | 38.46 | 63 | 162 | 38.89 |
2003 | 45 | 38.46 | 64 | 162 | 39.51 |
1974 | 46 | 39.32 | 60 | 162 | 37.04 |
1993 | 46 | 39.32 | 61 | 162 | 37.65 |
1970 | 46 | 39.32 | 63 | 162 | 38.89 |
1994 | 47 | 40.17 | 47 | 117 | 40.17 |
1987 | 48 | 41.03 | 65 | 162 | 40.12 |
2002 | 48 | 41.03 | 66 | 162 | 40.74 |
2009 | 49 | 41.88 | 75 | 162 | 46.3 |
1977 | 50 | 42.74 | 69 | 162 | 42.59 |
1980 | 50 | 42.74 | 73 | 163 | 44.79 |
2011 | 51 | 43.59 | 71 | 162 | 43.83 |
1979 | 52 | 44.44 | 68 | 161 | 42.24 |
2012 | 52 | 44.44 | 76 | 162 | 46.91 |
1975 | 53 | 45.3 | 71 | 162 | 43.83 |
2013 | 53 | 45.3 | |||
1999 | 53 | 45.3 | 74 | 162 | 45.68 |
1986 | 54 | 46.15 | 74 | 162 | 45.68 |
1990 | 55 | 47.01 | 75 | 162 | 46.3 |
1988 | 55 | 47.01 | 83 | 161 | 51.55 |
1976 | 56 | 47.86 | 73 | 162 | 45.06 |
1997 | 56 | 47.86 | 76 | 162 | 46.91 |
2000 | 56 | 47.86 | 76 | 162 | 46.91 |
2001 | 57 | 48.72 | 79 | 162 | 48.77 |
1983 | 57 | 48.72 | 81 | 163 | 49.69 |
1991 | 57 | 48.72 | 84 | 162 | 51.85 |
1995 | 58 | 49.57 | 70 | 144 | 48.61 |
2005 | 58 | 49.57 | 82 | 162 | 50.62 |
1978 | 59 | 50.43 | 84 | 162 | 51.85 |
1989 | 59 | 50.43 | 89 | 162 | 54.94 |
2006 | 60 | 51.28 | 88 | 162 | 54.32 |
1982 | 62 | 52.99 | 81 | 162 | 50 |
1985 | 62 | 52.99 | 83 | 162 | 51.23 |
1996 | 62 | 52.99 | 91 | 162 | 56.17 |
2004 | 63 | 53.85 | 87 | 162 | 53.7 |
2007 | 63 | 53.85 | 89 | 163 | 54.6 |
1992 | 64 | 54.7 | 82 | 162 | 50.62 |
1984 | 69 | 58.97 | 92 | 162 | 56.79 |
2010 | 70 | 59.83 | 90 | 162 | 55.56 |
1998 | 76 | 64.96 | 98 | 162 | 60.49 |
Of course a lot can happen in the last 45 games. The Padres of the past have shown they can win anywhere from 14 to 30 games.
Looking at the table below you'll notice that the 1980 and 1994 seasons are missing due to player strikes. You may also notice, like I did, that this is about the time that the 2010 season started to suck.
The 1989 team filled with leftovers from 1984 roster and young talent made a serious run in the last 45 games. They just couldn't catch the Giants in the NL West.
After the first 117
Year | Wins after 117 | Games after 117 | Win % after 117 | Season Wins | Season Games | Season % |
1974 | 14 | 45 | 31.11 | 60 | 162 | 37.04 |
1993 | 15 | 45 | 33.33 | 61 | 162 | 37.65 |
1972 | 13 | 36 | 36.11 | 58 | 153 | 37.91 |
1979 | 16 | 44 | 36.36 | 68 | 161 | 42.24 |
1987 | 17 | 45 | 37.78 | 65 | 162 | 40.12 |
1976 | 17 | 45 | 37.78 | 73 | 162 | 45.06 |
1970 | 17 | 45 | 37.78 | 63 | 162 | 38.89 |
1969 | 17 | 45 | 37.78 | 52 | 162 | 32.1 |
2008 | 18 | 45 | 40 | 63 | 162 | 38.89 |
2002 | 18 | 45 | 40 | 66 | 162 | 40.74 |
1992 | 18 | 45 | 40 | 82 | 162 | 50.62 |
1975 | 18 | 45 | 40 | 71 | 162 | 43.83 |
2003 | 19 | 45 | 42.22 | 64 | 162 | 39.51 |
1982 | 19 | 45 | 42.22 | 81 | 162 | 50 |
1977 | 19 | 45 | 42.22 | 69 | 162 | 42.59 |
1973 | 19 | 45 | 42.22 | 60 | 162 | 37.04 |
1971 | 19 | 44 | 43.18 | 61 | 161 | 37.89 |
2011 | 20 | 45 | 44.44 | 71 | 162 | 43.83 |
2010 | 20 | 45 | 44.44 | 90 | 162 | 55.56 |
2000 | 20 | 45 | 44.44 | 76 | 162 | 46.91 |
1997 | 20 | 45 | 44.44 | 76 | 162 | 46.91 |
1995 | 12 | 27 | 44.44 | 70 | 144 | 48.61 |
1990 | 20 | 45 | 44.44 | 75 | 162 | 46.3 |
1986 | 20 | 45 | 44.44 | 74 | 162 | 45.68 |
1999 | 21 | 45 | 46.67 | 74 | 162 | 45.68 |
1985 | 21 | 45 | 46.67 | 83 | 162 | 51.23 |
2001 | 22 | 45 | 48.89 | 79 | 162 | 48.77 |
1998 | 22 | 45 | 48.89 | 98 | 162 | 60.49 |
1980 | 23 | 46 | 50 | 73 | 163 | 44.79 |
1984 | 23 | 45 | 51.11 | 92 | 162 | 56.79 |
1983 | 24 | 46 | 52.17 | 81 | 163 | 49.69 |
2012 | 24 | 45 | 53.33 | 76 | 162 | 46.91 |
2005 | 24 | 45 | 53.33 | 82 | 162 | 50.62 |
2004 | 24 | 45 | 53.33 | 87 | 162 | 53.7 |
1978 | 25 | 45 | 55.56 | 84 | 162 | 51.85 |
2007 | 26 | 46 | 56.52 | 89 | 163 | 54.6 |
2009 | 26 | 45 | 57.78 | 75 | 162 | 46.3 |
1991 | 27 | 45 | 60 | 84 | 162 | 51.85 |
2006 | 28 | 45 | 62.22 | 88 | 162 | 54.32 |
1988 | 28 | 44 | 63.64 | 83 | 161 | 51.55 |
1996 | 29 | 45 | 64.44 | 91 | 162 | 56.17 |
1989 | 30 | 45 | 66.67 | 89 | 162 | 54.94 |